For a scalar function with continuous third derivatives near , apply the one-dimensional Taylor theorem to . The chain rule gives and , proving the displayed formula. Here is the Hessian matrix. The finite polynomial part is the Multivariate Taylor polynomial; the remainder controls its accuracy.
A linear estimator in nonparametric regression at has the form , where the weights may depend on the design, , , , and , but not on the responses. Put
and define the local polynomial Gram matrix
When , the weighted least squares normal equations have the unique solution
Therefore , where the effective kernel weight is
The identity
shows that these weights exactly reproduce at every multivariate polynomial of total degree at most . This is the required polynomial reproduction property of local polynomial regression.
Only grid points with have nonzero weight. There are at most such points because . On this support,
so the operator norm bound gives
Because the errors are independent random variables with the stated variance bounds,
Thus .
Let be the Multivariate Taylor polynomial of at through total degree . The assumed Hölder continuity of the derivatives and
give the Taylor remainder bound
Polynomial reproduction cancels in the bias. The same support count and weight bound give
Consequently
so .
The partial derivatives are and . At they have values and . The first-order Multivariate Taylor polynomial therefore gives the change
Thus the requested linear approximation is ; it is the change from , not the new function value itself.