Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 ii Paper 3 26I Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
An exponential family has density on a parameter-independent support. For an independent and identically distributed sample, its likelihood factorizes through , so the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem gives a sufficient statistic whose dimension is the fixed dimension of , independent of sample size.
Expanding the normal log-density gives , , andThe mean-value parameter is , henceFor and positive sample variance, and , so . For this normal natural-mean parameter ratio estimator, the central limit theorem gives asymptotic independent errors for and , with variances and . Applying the delta method to yieldsIf is known, is fixed and has exact distribution . The variance-estimation contribution disappears.