Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 ib Paper 4 14H Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
First take , the hypothesis required for the printed ratios and their optimization formula to be well-defined. Since ,The maximizing and minimizing problems therefore have exactly the same solutions.
Let and minimize the separable optimization LagrangianEach summand is convex, and its derivative is . Its minimizer is . The sum of these coordinates is continuous in , decreases from infinity to zero, and is strictly decreasing wherever positive. Thus there is a unique for which the sum is . For every feasible , coordinatewise minimization gives ; both constraint terms vanish. The Lagrangian sufficiency theorem proves global optimality, not just a necessary stationary condition.
Put in decreasing order. A positive bet occurs exactly when . Hence the positive bets form an initial block. To interpret the maximal index in the question, one may include any subsequent indices tied at : their bets are zero but their marginal-return equality still holds. Take . ThenFor this block, , with the threshold inequalities determining . Zero-probability horses receive zero bets.
Let be the set attaining , and write , . For sufficiently small , the solution uses only , with there and . If the next ratio is , this remains valid when ; if all outside ratios are zero there is no finite threshold. Put . The fixed pool is , so the expected gross payout and net gain areTied best horses receive bets proportional to their existing stakes; betting all on one tied horse is not generally optimal for finite . This is pari-mutuel expected-return allocation.
The literal allowance needs qualification. At the printed objective contains and the ordered ratios are undefined. Even defining an unbacked horse's payout to be zero does not always yield an attained optimum. For example, take , , , . For , the normalized expected payout is , tending to as but never attaining it; at that zero-payout convention gives . Thus the proved allocation formula requires positive existing stakes, or an explicitly modified market model. The zero-stake case cannot be justified by silently dividing by zero.