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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2004 / ib / Paper 4 / 19H / i / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 ib Paper 4 19H i
Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Under squared-error loss, the posterior expected loss decomposes as
E[(θ−a)2∣x]=Var(θ∣x)+(a−E[θ∣x])2.
(1)
It is uniquely minimized by the posterior mean. Integrating the Gamma posterior gives E[θ∣x]=b2∫0∞​θ2e−bθdθ=2/b. Hence the Bayes estimator is
θB​(X)=μ+X2​.​
(2)

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