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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2014 / iii / Paper 26 / 2 / 3

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 26 2
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For the real-valued variables here, take a G-measurable version of X=E[Y∣G]. Since the variables are bounded, the conditional expectation defining identity extends to the bounded G-measurable multiplier X, giving
E[XY]=E[XE[Y∣G]]=EX2.
(1)
The equality case for conditional second moments now gives
E(Y−X)2=EY2−2E[XY]+EX2=EY2−EX2=0.
(2)
A nonnegative random variable with zero expectation vanishes with probability one. Thus X=Y as an almost sure equality. The same proof works for square-integrable variables; boundedness is more than is needed.

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