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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2015 / iii / Paper 35 / 7 / 4

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 35 7
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Letting t→∞ in the cumulative incidence function gives the probability that the observed first event is of type A:
Pr(J=A)=Pr(TA​<TB​)=α+βα​.​
(1)
This is the sense of occurrence in the competing risks model. If one instead followed the latent exponential TA​ even after B, its eventual-occurrence probability would be one; that is a different question from observing A before the competing event.

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