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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2015 / iii / Paper 35 / 7 / 5

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 35 7
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Divide the joint first-event/type-A density by the type probability. For α>0,
fT∣J=A​(t)=α/(α+β)αe−(α+β)t​=(α+β)e−(α+β)t,t≥0.​
(1)
It integrates to one, so the conditional time is exponential with rate α+β. Type-A events that win the competition tend to occur sooner than an unrestricted latent A time. In fact the same conditional density holds for B, so the observed first-event time and its type are independent in this constant-rate model.

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