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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2019 / iii / Paper 218 / 6 / c / i

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 218 6 c
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i
Since X1​ is the sum of two independent centered Gaussian innovations,
X1​∼N(0,σ2(1+θ2)).​
(1)
For any nonzero a∈Rn,
aTΣa=Var(∑t=1n​at​Xt​).
(2)
Expanding each Xt​=εt​+θεt−1​ expresses this as σ2 times a sum of squared innovation coefficients. If all coefficients vanished, the coefficient of the latest innovation gives an​=0, and backward induction gives every at​=0, a contradiction. Hence aTΣa>0 and the covariance matrix is positive definite.

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