Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2024 / iii / Paper 225 / 1 / b

Write $x\otimes y$ for the rank-one operator $h\mapsto ⟨h,y⟩x$. The estimator is the kernel representation of the empirical covariance operatorSince $\mathbb{E}X=0$,Thus the estimator has the fixed bias of an estimator ${\mu }_0\otimes {\mu }_0$ for $C_X$.

The fourth-moment assumption makes $(X_i-{\mu }_0)\otimes (X_i-{\mu }_0)$ square-integrable in the Hilbert space of Hilbert-Schmidt operators. The weak law of large numbers therefore givesConsequently consistency for $C_X$ holds exactly when ${\mu }_0=0$. More precisely, if $Y=(X-{\mu }_0)\otimes (X-{\mu }_0)$, thenThe Hilbert-space central limit theorem also yieldswhere $G$ is a centered Gaussian random element in the Hilbert-Schmidt operator space with covariance determined by $Y$. Relative to $C_X$, the same fluctuation is displaced by $\sqrt{n}({\mu }_0\otimes {\mu }_0)$ and hence does not have a finite centered limit when ${\mu }_0\ne 0$.