For a negligible tensor contribution, the historical COBE horizon amplitude corresponds to curvature power . In quartic hilltop inflation, is of order at , independent of the small symmetry-breaking scale at this order. The exact inferred amplitude depends on the late cosmology and tilt used in the COBE transfer calculation.
// Target: cosmic-inflation.bigb
Using the approximate large-angle CMB relation gives in quartic hilltop inflation. It is suppressed by the fourth power of the small-field scale. This large-angle temperature ratio is not the primordial tensor-to-scalar ratio ; their transfer functions and normalization differ.
// Target: cosmology.bigb
Write the reduced Planck mass as , and use natural units. Near the flat maximum, the quartic hilltop inflation trajectory has and . The slow-roll approximation gives and . Therefore the number of e-folds is
The lower field value dominates this integral. Thus
This is far below for the assumed small symmetry-breaking scale. Strict slow roll actually fails before the minimum: at . The last approach to the minimum is not described by slow roll. Using that earlier upper limit changes the dominant fifty-e-fold estimate by an order-one number of e-folds, not its leading scale dependence. No extrapolation of slow roll all the way to the minimum is needed.