For a transferable utility game on player set , its characteristic function of a coalitional game is , where is the maximum transferable surplus attainable by coalition and . An imputation is a payoff vector satisfying efficiency and individual rationality . The core of a cooperative game consists of the efficient payoff vectors satisfying
These conditions prevent any coalition from blocking the allocation; singleton constraints include individual rationality.
The Shapley value payoff is
Equivalently, it is the expected marginal contribution of player when the players arrive in uniformly random order. The factorial weight counts the orders with exactly preceding . Summing marginal contributions telescopes along each order, proving Shapley efficiency.
In the four-player market a coalition creates one unit of surplus exactly when it contains the seller and at least one buyer. Thus
All singleton values are zero and . Core constraints for the pairs require for every buyer . Since all payoffs are nonnegative and sum to one, the other two buyers' payoffs must be zero for each such pair. Therefore every buyer receives zero and the seller receives one. This vector satisfies all coalition inequalities, so
The seller's marginal contribution is one unless he arrives before all three buyers, which happens with probability . A given buyer contributes one exactly when the seller is first and that buyer is second, with probability . Hence
In particular the Shapley allocation need not lie in this market's core.
For the market with sellers and buyers, a coalition containing sellers and buyers can make precisely trades, each producing unit surplus. Thus and . Let and denote the common Shapley payoffs within the two roles. Role symmetry and the telescoping efficiency identity give
It remains to prove , rather than infer it only from competitive intuition.
Generate a uniformly random arrival order by giving every player an independent uniform time in . Conditional on a specified seller's arrival time , the number of preceding buyers and number of preceding other sellers are independent, with
The seller adds a trade precisely when . Consequently
For , the difference has mean and variance . By Chebyshev's inequality,
Split the integral at . Using the trivial bound one on the first piece gives
This proves the Shapley limit in a buyer-heavy exchange market. Since , we conclude
The proof accounts for sellers arriving very early, where a fixed-time concentration argument alone would not be uniform.