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As a function of the independent edge indicators, the maximum matching number is unit-Lipschitz. The event $f(G)\ge k$ is certified by exhibiting the $k$ present edges of a matching, so $f$ is $g(k)=k$ certifiable. The Talagrand concentration inequality for certifiable functions around a median $M$ gives, for universal constants in the displayed standard version,Here $M\asymp \sqrt{n}$. If $t/n^{1/4}\to \infty$, then $t^2/(M+t)\to \infty$, as does $t^2/M$ whenever the corresponding event is possible. Both tail probabilities therefore tend to zero. Thus deviations of any order larger than $n^{1/4}$ are unlikely.

Talagrand's concentration inequality gives strong concentration in product spaces using convex distance. If $A$ has positive product probability, its convex-distance enlargement has Gaussian tails. A Talagrand concentration inequality for certifiable functions follows by bounding this distance using bounded differences and small certificates.