Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 43 3 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
The principle terminal correlation does not identify adapted stock volatility exposes a false printed assertion for the correlation coefficient defined in the introduction. Take , , andThen andHence and are bounded. Both terminal prices have positive finite variance and are perfectly correlated, because one is a positive affine function of the other. Nevertheless on every continuous finite stock path. Equal initial prices fix the means, not the affine slope.
Here is the exact general conclusion and the intended qualified proof. Bounded volatilities make these zero-rate stochastic exponentials true square-integrable martingales. Writing , perfect terminal correlation gives for some . Conditional expectation therefore gives for every . Comparing stochastic integrals, the Itô isometry yieldsThis relation need not imply equality of the volatilities.
The terminal proportionality identifies bounded stock volatility criterion repairs the statement. If one additionally assumes equal terminal variances, then and the whole stock paths coincide, so positivity gives almost everywhere and the requested integral is zero. The same repair follows if terminal proportionality is assumed: equal martingale means force , after which the conditional-expectation and Itô isometry argument applies. This proves the intended conclusion under a sufficient additional hypothesis without treating centered correlation as uncentered proportionality.