For a gas whose lifetime is much less than the selected horizon, the numerator of its global warming potential has nearly saturated: . The carbon-dioxide denominator continues to accumulate because of its long-lived response. Consequently a shorter horizon usually gives a larger GWP for this short-lived substitute; a longer horizon gives a smaller GWP. If the horizon becomes comparable to, or shorter than, the substitute's lifetime, the numerator also depends strongly on the horizon and cannot be replaced by its infinite-time limit.
The horizon is a value choice, and integrated forcing is not the same as temperature at a chosen future date. Equal-GWP pulses can therefore have different near-term warming and long-term temperature paths. The result also depends on greenhouse gas radiative efficiency, background concentrations, lifetime estimates and which indirect chemical effects or feedbacks are included. A pulse-based metric does not by itself describe a continuing emissions trajectory, nor does it measure ozone depletion or local air-pollution impacts. Comparisons should state the horizon, the emission scenario and the chosen climate outcome.[ref]
For a liquid cloud at fixed water content and geometrical thickness, more cloud condensation nuclei can produce more, smaller droplets. The increased total extinction area raises optical depth and reflected sunlight: the Twomey effect gives negative shortwave radiative forcing. It is an indirect aerosol effect mediated by cloud microphysics, rather than direct aerosol scattering.[ref]
Smaller droplets can also delay collision-coalescence and drizzle, potentially increasing liquid-water retention, cloud lifetime or coverage; that adjustment would usually strengthen cooling for low reflective clouds. It is not universal: evaporation and mixing with dry air can reduce water content or cloud cover, and dynamical changes can oppose the simple lifetime argument. Absorbing particles can heat an atmospheric layer, sometimes evaporating cloud and producing a positive semi-direct forcing, but their vertical position can instead stabilize a cloud layer and reverse the response. Aerosols can additionally alter ice nucleation and mixed-phase precipitation, with no single forcing sign independent of cloud type. The net response combines shortwave reflection and longwave thermal effects, and depends on cloud height, optical depth and adjustments. Thus the fixed-water Twomey sign is robust within its assumptions; adjustment and ice-cloud signs require context.[ref]