Write the base-state gradients as
The base heat flux and Stefan condition relations are
Under the quasi-stationary approximation, and with advective heat transport neglected, each temperature perturbation satisfies the Laplace equation. The decaying normal-mode solutions are
Keeping the displaced ice interface at omits the curvature correction described by the Gibbs--Thomson relation.
The fixed melting temperature at the displaced ice interface gives
Expanding temperature and conductive heat flux continuity at the displaced outer interface gives
Put . Since , the temperature condition in the limits and gives
Although is small, the product is therefore order one and cannot be discarded. The flux condition then gives
This is why the stated asymptotic warning matters.
The perturbed Stefan condition at is
Using and yields
Substitution of the interface-amplitude ratio from part i produces the thin-film icicle-ripple instability dispersion relation
Set . Rationalizing this complex number gives
so its growth rate and imaginary part are
Differentiating the growth rate with respect to the wavenumber shows that its positive stationary point satisfies
It is the unique global maximum, and hence
At this wavenumber . With the convention , a constant phase travels with phase velocity
Therefore
Because increases downward, the negative sign means that the icicle ripples migrate upward with speed .