Thomas Robert Malthus (1766–1834)

Thomas Robert Malthus made the comparison between population growth and the growth of food supply explicit in his 1798 An Essay on the Principle of Population by Thomas Robert Malthus. In Chapters I–II, he assumed that unchecked numbers could follow a geometric progression, taking doubling every 25 years as his rule, while food supply gained a fixed amount in each such period, an arithmetic progression. These were different hypotheses about two quantities, rather than a calculation from a single universal growth law.^[ref]

With equal initial scales, his comparison can be written as $N_k=N_0{2}^k$ and $F_k=F_0(1+k)$ after $k$ periods of 25 years. Then $N_k/F_k=(N_0/F_0)2^k/(1+k)$ grows without bound. The corresponding continuous exponential growth rate for numbers would be $\log (2)/25$ per year. The mathematics describes the consequence of the assumed rates; it does not establish that actual birth, death, human migration and food-production rates stay fixed. Demography can test population assumptions against counts, age composition and measured rates.