Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ib Paper 1 20H Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
Assume the intended initial fortune satisfies and put . Conditional on current fortune , the next gift is uniform on and independent of the previous choices. The remaining fortune is therefore uniform on that same set. At fortune the process stays there. Consequently the future conditional distribution depends only on the current fortune, proving the Markov property, and the transition matrix on isThe uniform decreasing Markov chain has state as an absorbing state, and until absorption the fortune strictly decreases, so the hitting time is at most .
Let be the expected number of additional transitions to hit , taking . First-step analysis givesIn particular . For , multiplying this recurrence by and the recurrence for by , then subtracting, gives . Hence for every , and telescoping yieldsThe PDF defines using times . If were included, that definition would give although the displayed empty sum is zero; the initial instruction to choose an integer between and also requires . The result above uses that intended assumption. A hitting time allowing time zero would have expectation zero from state , but that is a different definition.