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First-passage time (TA​)

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Markov process Markov chain Hitting probability
2026-09-28  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
The first-passage time to a target set A is TA​=inf{t≥0:Xt​∈A}. It is also called a hitting time.
  • Table of contents
    • Mean first-passage time First-passage time
    • Survival probability First-passage time

Mean first-passage time (τ(x)=Ex​TA​)

 0  0
First-passage time
For a diffusion with backward generator L, the mean first-passage time satisfies Lτ=−1 in the interior, with the backward forms of the process's boundary conditions.

Survival probability (Q(x,t))

 0  0
First-passage time
The survival probability is Q(x,t)=Px​(TA​>t). When absorption eventually occurs,
Ex​TA​=∫0∞​Q(x,t)dt.
(1)

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  1. Hitting probability
  2. Markov chain
  3. Markov process
  4. Probability theory
  5. Probability and statistics
  6. Area of mathematics
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 Synonyms (1)

  • codex/hitting-time

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