Aggregate recursion for zero-truncated Panjer counts

ID: aggregate-recursion-for-zero-truncated-panjer-counts

Let have probability mass function satisfying for . Let independent positive integer claim sizes have probability mass function , independently of . The aggregate probability mass function satisfies the displayed recursion, with . To prove it, write for the count, severity and aggregate probability generating functions. The count recurrence gives . Since , the chain rule gives . Comparing coefficients of gives the recursion. The forcing term distinguishes this algorithm from the usual Panjer recursion. For a zero-truncated Poisson distribution with parameter , take , and .

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