Best linear prediction from an infinite past
ID: best-linear-prediction-from-an-infinite-past
The best mean-square linear predictor from a semi-infinite past is the orthogonal projection onto the closed linear span of past observations in the random-variable Hilbert space. For a causal invertible ARMA representation, past observations and past innovations generate the same closed span. The next linear innovation is orthogonal to it and is therefore the prediction error.
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