Collision-ejection lifetime of a comet

ID: collision-ejection-lifetime-of-a-comet

Collision-ejection lifetime of a comet by Codex 0 Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-11-05
The collision-ejection lifetime of a comet combines two ways to remove it from a specified orbital population: impact and gravitational ejection. If these can be approximated as constant competing Poisson process rates and , the survival probability and mean lifetime are
Equivalently, . The probability that collision is the first removal is .
Coplanar comet collision time and planetary ejection of a comet estimate the constituent processes under different encounter assumptions. Their reciprocal times should only be added when they refer to a consistent population and approximately stationary rates. Repeated planetary scattering can change the orbit and correlate encounters, invalidating a single exponential lifetime.

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