Exponential surplus martingale
ID: exponential-surplus-martingale
In a classical risk model, an adjustment coefficient makes . The random-sum transform identity and independent increments show that . This nonnegative martingale starts at one. At the ruin stopping time , . Applying the optional stopping theorem only to yields ; passage to increasing horizons proves the Lundberg inequality without an unjustified expectation identity at an unbounded stopping time.
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