Exponential surplus martingale ($Z_t=\exp (R({\sum }_{j=1}^{N_t}{X}_j-ct))$)

In a classical risk model, an adjustment coefficient $R$ makes $\lambda (M_X(R)-1)-cR=0$. The random-sum transform identity and independent increments show that $\mathbb{E}[Z_t\mid {\mathcal{F}}_s]=Z_s$. This nonnegative martingale starts at one. At the ruin stopping time $\tau$, $Z_{\tau }>e^{Ru}$. Applying the optional stopping theorem only to $\tau \wedge t$ yields $\mathbb{P}(\tau \le t)\le e^{-Ru}$; passage to increasing horizons proves the Lundberg inequality without an unjustified expectation identity at an unbounded stopping time.