Fractional moment decay of independent mean-one products
ID: fractional-moment-decay-of-independent-mean-one-products
Suppose are identically distributed independent random variables with , , and not constant almost surely. For each , strict concavity of givesThe moment is finite because on . Let . Independence and Markov's inequality giveThe series of the latter probabilities is finite. The First Borel-Cantelli lemma, applied for the countable choices , proves almost surely. This proof requires neither existence nor integrability of .
Although this nonnegative martingale has at every time, its terminal expected value is zero. It is therefore not uniformly integrable. The contrast is useful: bounded expected values ensure almost sure convergence here, but do not allow preservation of the expected value through the limit.
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