Gaussian change-point posterior with proper priors

ID: gaussian-change-point-posterior-with-proper-priors

Take independent proper normal prior distributions for the two segment means and a proper inverse-gamma distribution for the common variance. A uniform prior distribution over may then retain the empty second segment. The posterior distribution is proper: its likelihood function is bounded above by , whose integral against is finite for . At the second mean has its unchanged proper prior distribution as its full conditional distribution. The configuration's posterior probability now has the meaningful interpretation of no change inside the observed sample.

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