Local-level state-space model

ID: local-level-state-space-model

The latent state follows a random walk, while observations add independent measurement noise. If the two noises have variances , the differences have autocovariances at lag zero, at lag one, and zero at larger lags. For , write and . The differenced process is an invertible moving-average model with coefficient and innovation variance . Its level has a unit root.

New to topics? Read the docs here!