Local-level state-space model
ID: local-level-state-space-model
The latent state follows a random walk, while observations add independent measurement noise. If the two noises have variances , the differences have autocovariances at lag zero, at lag one, and zero at larger lags. For , write and . The differenced process is an invertible moving-average model with coefficient and innovation variance . Its level has a unit root.
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