Markov chain ergodic theorem

ID: markov-chain-ergodic-theorem

For an irreducible finite Markov chain with stationary distribution , the fraction of visits to any state converges almost surely to , for every initial state. More generally, the empirical average of a function of the state converges to its average under . Aperiodicity is needed for convergence of the one-time distributions, but not for this empirical-frequency conclusion. Regeneration at returns to a state proves the conclusion by applying the strong law to independent excursion lengths and excursion rewards.

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