Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-graph-theory-and-probabilistic-combinatorics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2007/b/8/b/solution

Azuma's inequality states that if is a martingale with almost surely, then for ,
For independent product coordinates , expose them successively and set . If changing one coordinate changes by at most one, the possible conditional means at that exposure have diameter at most one, by averaging the same remaining independent coordinates. Therefore the martingale increments have absolute value at most one. It follows that
For coordinate bounds , the same argument gives denominator . The argument extends to arbitrary independent measurable coordinates for an integrable function with these bounds, rather than requiring finite state sets.

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