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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2004/iii/paper-43/1/i/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 43 1 i Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write the expected value as and assume the relevant covariance matrix is invertible. Remove the linear predictor from the first block by definingA linear image of a multivariate normal vector is again multivariate normal. Direct covariance calculation givesThus and are independent: uncorrelated jointly Gaussian variables are independent. Expanding the covariance matrix of , using , givesConditioning on translates by the fixed vector and leaves its covariance matrix unchanged. Consequently the conditional multivariate normal distribution isThe conditional covariance is the Schur complement and does not depend on .
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