Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2004/iii/paper-43/1/ii/solution

Put , the precision matrix, with scalar and containing all remaining coordinates. Holding in the multivariate normal density, the terms involving in its exponent are
Completing the square gives a normal distribution with mean and
Equivalently, the block matrix inverse identity gives . The Gaussian conditional variance from precision is a reciprocal diagonal entry of the precision matrix, rather than the marginal variance .

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