 Solution

A useful description of the low-column Lyman-alpha forest at $z\simeq 3$ is a power law $f_X(N,z)=A(z)N^{-\beta }$, with $\beta$ around $1.4$–$1.5$ over the ordinary unsaturated forest range. The same column dependence holds for $f_z$ at a fixed redshift. It is not a universal unbroken power law: saturation, increased neutral fraction and changing absorber populations produce breaks. Lyman limit systems become optically thick at $N\simeq 10^{17.2}{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}$ because $N{\sigma }_{912}\simeq 1$ with ${\sigma }_{912}\simeq 6.3\times 10^{-18}{\mathrm{cm}}^2$. Damped Lyman-alpha systems have $N\gtrsim 2\times 10^{20}{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}$ and strong radiative damping wings. They are rare in number but contain substantial neutral mass. The highest-column distribution steepens or cuts off rather than extending indefinitely.

This sketch shows representative shapes and transition scales, not an observational fit; its ordinate is distribution per unit column, not counts per logarithmic bin. In an Einstein-de Sitter universe, $H=H_0(1+z{)}^{3/2}$, so a fixed comoving population with fixed physical cross-section above a fixed column threshold has $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{1/2}$. ThusThe observed redshift evolution of the Lyman-alpha forest is much stronger for commonly selected forest lines. For example, Kim, Cristiani and D'Odorico's absorption survey finds an index about $2.19$ in $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{\gamma }$ for $10^{13.64}<N/{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}<10^{16}$ over $1.5<z<4$, corresponding to an increase by approximately $2^{2.19}\simeq 4.56$. This number is selection-dependent. Expansion changes the gas density, and the evolving cosmic ionizing background changes its neutral fraction through photoionization equilibrium, moving systems across a fixed neutral-column threshold. Structure also evolves. A non-evolving population with fixed physical cross-section is therefore not an adequate physical model of the observed forest.