Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2005/ii/paper-1/27i/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 ii Paper 1 27I Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Wilks theorem states that, under an interior null parameter and the usual identifiability, smoothness and nonsingular-information regularity conditions, for nested models converges under the null to a chi-square distribution with degrees of freedom equal to the difference of parameter dimensions. Boundary or nonidentifiable nulls need not have this distribution.
Write , and . The unrestricted maximum-likelihood estimates are and . Under the null the variance estimate is . Substituting both maxima into the Gaussian likelihood givesThis is for , with positive true variance; almost surely. The lost parameter dimension is one, even though variance is estimated in both models.
The two-sided Student t-test uses , where , and rejects when . Under the null has exactly the Student t-distribution with degrees of freedom. The likelihood-ratio statistic isunder the null, so its chi-square approximation agrees asymptotically with the squared asymptotic standard-normal t statistic. In fact the expression is strictly increasing in : with exact finite-sample calibration the tests have identical rejection regions for every , not just approximately for large samples.
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