Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2005/iii/paper-48/4/b/solution

Since , multiplying the given bond dynamics by cancels the drift and gives . For an integrable discounted terminal payoff, the risk-neutral value process is the discounted-payoff martingale
For an attainable claim this also follows directly from its self-financing discounted wealth being a true martingale, with terminal value . In a Brownian market, the Brownian martingale representation theorem provides ; a traded bond with nonzero diffusion exposure can hedge it by holding bond units, with the remainder in the bank account. Thus, under the usual attainability and integrability assumptions, this construction gives the replicated price as well as the risk-neutral pricing formula.
Because is -measurable,
In a general Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, writing this value as requires an additional state-reduction assumption. The conditional expectation is valid without asserting that the short rate alone is the full state.

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