Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2006/ii/paper-1/26j/b/solution

All four permitted hops have rate one: , , , and . Every state reaches every other, so the only communicating class is , and it is closed.
Figure 1.
Allowed frog hops and their rates
. Details.
Solving , , gives and . Thus
For the transient probability, let . The forward equations and give , . From , . Integrating , with , yields
It has derivative one at zero and tends to , as required.

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