Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2007/iii/paper-41/2/i/solution

Consider a binomial market with dates , bank account for , and stock price or , where . Both moves have positive physical probability, and the information at date is the history of the first moves. Absence of arbitrage requires and is implied by . If , borrowing cash to buy stock has nonnegative payoff with a strict gain in one state; if , the reverse trade does. In the interior range, the risk-neutral probability of an up move is
It makes , so is a martingale. This proves absence of arbitrage by pricing discounted gains under the equivalent measure.
At a node with stock price , let the desired next-period portfolio values be . Solve the two replication equations and . The replicating portfolio in a binomial market has
Its current value is
Rebalance at the next node using exactly the value supplied by the previous holdings, so the strategy is self-financing. Backward induction from any terminal contingent claim gives its hedge and the unique price
Thus the finite binomial market is a complete market. The construction works for path-dependent claims on the full history tree, even when their values do not recombine merely as functions of the current stock price. For , independence under gives the explicit time-zero price
The stock hedge is a difference quotient of successor values, the discrete analogue of the delta hedge.

New to topics? Read the docs here!