Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2007/iii/paper-47/1/a/solution

Use the unbiased sample covariance matrix
and assume is positive-definite and , so is invertible almost surely. For a nonzero fixed direction , the observations have mean and variance . Their squared Student t-test statistic for the projected null mean is
Put . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality gives
with equality when is proportional to , if . For every projected statistic is zero. Maximizing the squared discrepancy over directions therefore gives Hotelling's T-squared statistic:
This uses the squared generalized Rayleigh quotient. The preliminary formula on the printed cover has an unsquared numerator and is not valid as written: setting makes that ratio for , so it is unbounded. The displayed Cauchy-Schwarz argument supplies the needed corrected identity independently.
Under the null, let and . Then , , and are independent. To see these sample properties, apply an orthogonal transformation to the observation indices with first row . Its first centered row is ; its other rows are independent residual contrasts, independent of the first. Their outer products sum to , establishing the Wishart distribution and independence.
Since , use the supplied Gaussian-Wishart quadratic-form law with to obtain
Thus a level- test rejects when this scaled statistic exceeds the quantile of the F-distribution. The Gaussian-Wishart law requires independence; it holds here because of the orthogonal sample decomposition. Its printed use of instead of the introduced is a notational slip. A fixed-direction Student law alone would not calibrate the maximized statistic, because its maximizing direction depends on the sample.

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