Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/iii/paper-39/1/v/solution

Let be the initial call price. Write the risk-neutral probabilities of stock prices as . The stock's martingale equation and the normalization give and . The call pays only in the first state, so its martingale equation is . Thus
All three objective probabilities are positive. This defines an equivalent martingale measure precisely when , and part (iii) proves that every such price excludes arbitrage.
To prove necessity without appealing to an existence theorem, consider the other prices explicitly. If , buy one call and hold units of cash. Its initial value is zero and terminal value is , nonnegative and positive with positive probability. If , take holdings . The initial value is and terminal values at are . They are nonnegative and the middle-state value is strictly positive. This includes the endpoint . Consequently

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