Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/iii/paper-46/4/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 46 4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-14
Let be the distinct observed event times, with individuals at risk just before and events there. Parameterize the event-time distribution by the conditional failure probabilities . Under independent censoring, the survival part of the nonparametric likelihood groups into factorsAn individual still under observation at contributes either a failure factor or a survival factor; later-censored individuals contribute the latter factors until censoring. Maximizing each factor independently gives , including the boundary solutions when or . Multiplying the conditional survival probabilities yields the Kaplan–Meier estimatorThe notation here denotes the survivor function, as in the question. The estimator is constant between event times. Under the usual simultaneous-event convention, individuals censored at remain in its risk set while events are processed, and are then removed.
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