Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/iii/paper-47/6/b/i/solution

The parameter-dependent part of the complete multinomial distribution log-likelihood is
The remaining probability factors and multinomial coefficient are constant in . If , differentiating gives , whose zero is
The log-likelihood is concave. If , its maximum is at zero; if , its maximum is at one. These boundary cases are included by the same formula. If , the data lie entirely in the parameter-independent fourth cell and every is a maximum-likelihood estimator.

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