Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2009/ii/paper-1/12h/iii/solution

By Gibbs inequality,
with equality exactly when . Put , a probability distribution. The optimal log-optimal multiplicative betting rate is
For this is strictly positive by Gibbs inequality; taking in the preceding strong law of large numbers bound proves growth with probability tending to one.
For the casino can set . Every optimal return multiplier is then exactly , so the fortune decreases deterministically as . More generally for that choice. An arbitrary choice with need not cause decline. For example, take , , . Then but . For any fixed positive , making one sufficiently small while preserving also makes the optimal rate positive.

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