Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2012/iii/paper-41/2/a/solution

The two independent binomial distributions give fitted event probabilities and . Their odds ratio and log odds ratio are
Using the log odds ratio variance from a two-by-two table,
The stated normal approximation and quantile approximately two give the confidence interval
Exponentiation gives the corresponding odds ratio interval . Its lower endpoint exceeds one.

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