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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2012 / iii / Paper 41 / 2 / a / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 41 2 a
Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
The two independent binomial distributions give fitted event probabilities 24/99 and 12/100. Their odds ratio and log odds ratio are
OR=75⋅1224⋅88​=2.34667,δ=logOR=0.852996.
(1)
Using the log odds ratio variance from a two-by-two table,
Var(δ)=241​+751​+121​+881​=0.149697,SE(δ)=0.386907.
(2)
The stated normal approximation and quantile approximately two give the confidence interval
δ∈0.852996±2(0.386907)=(0.07918,1.62681).​
(3)
Exponentiation gives the corresponding odds ratio interval (1.0824,5.0876). Its lower endpoint exceeds one.

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