Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-32/2/c/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 32 2 c Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
A numerical power calculation needs a significance level, desired power, sidedness and allocation; these are not specified in this part. For a concrete planning illustration, assume independent batches, equal samples per supplier, a two-sided 5% test with 80% power, and true rates and . The observed 2% from B and C is being used as a planning value for B, not as proof that B's population rate is exactly known. There is also a numerical inconsistency in the stated frame: at six batches per working day, B and C together produce only 120 batches in two weeks, and their proposed schemes would test 24. The asserted 3,000 sampled batches cannot literally come from that frame. The calculation treats as a stipulated planning estimate; its collection would require a larger frame or longer period.
For two independent sample proportions, the approximate null variance of their difference is and its variance at the alternative is , with . Separating the null critical value from the alternative mean by the required power quantile gives the sample size for comparing two proportions:With , and , this gives , so the normal-approximation calculation rounds to 1,141 batches per supplier, or approximately 1,150 for a practical planning target. This is per supplier, not the combined total. A different power or a one-sided test changes the answer. Positive clustering of sampled batches requires a cluster-aware calculation or inflation, so the independent-batch calculation should not simply be applied to C's one-day clusters.
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