Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-39/5/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 39 5 a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Construct the strictly positive rolling one-period bond account using successive one-period zero-coupon bonds:At time , invest the entire account value in the bond maturing at . This gives a positive self-financing portfolio usable as a numéraire.
We use the finite-discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing: in a frictionless market with finitely many adapted assets and trading dates, no arbitrage is equivalent to existence of an equivalent martingale measure for asset prices, including dividends, expressed in a positive traded numéraire. Maturing bond payoffs are reinvested in that numéraire. Let be such a measure and its positive density process. The martingale pricing relation for a unit zero-coupon bond isDefine . The Bayes formula for conditional expectation then givesThe positive expectations are finite because these are the traded finite bond prices; in particular when initial information is trivial. Normalize without changing any ratio. With nontrivial initial information the same identities are conditional on that information. The state-price density need not be unique when the bond market is incomplete; existence is sufficient.
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