Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-26/1/3/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 26 1 3 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-06
The random walk is a martingale, since its integrable increments are independent of the past and have mean zero. For the bounded stopping time , the bounded optional stopping theorem, proved in the next question, gives .
If , the value immediately before exit lies in , soBefore exit the stopped value has absolute value less than , and after exit it equals . Consequently for every . This is an integrable dominating random variable by the preceding part. Since with probability one, the dominated convergence theorem givesFor , directly, without any convention about . Thus the expected stopped position is well-defined and has the stated value for every .
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