Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-32/1/a/i/solution

For a one-sided Wald test use the signed normal Wald statistic, rather than its square. The maximum-likelihood estimate is the sample mean , with exact variance , so
A sum of independent normal random variables is normal, giving and hence . Under the null hypothesis its mean is zero:
Thus its null distribution is exactly the standard normal distribution, without an asymptotic approximation. If the squared Wald statistic convention is used, has a chi-squared distribution with one degree of freedom; the signed form is needed to distinguish the two directions.

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