Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-32/6/a/solution

Conditional on an event and the immediately preceding history, probabilities are proportional to the three instantaneous hazards. Put . The two zero-covariate subjects each have weight one, and the one-covariate subject has weight . The common baseline hazard cancels. Thus
Each individual with zero covariate has probability ; the first boxed probability is their combined probability. Conditioning on an event at a specified continuous time can be understood by the limiting conditional event probabilities in a short interval.
The hazard-weighted covariate mean is , so the Schoenfeld function at the true coefficient is
Multiplying by the two conditional probabilities gives
This verifies the score-centering property directly for this risk set.

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