Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-32/7/solution

For mutually exclusive event types, let be the first event time and its type. The cause-specific hazard for cause is
It is a rate conditional on having had no event of any cause. The cumulative incidence function, also called the cumulative risk function, is the actual probability .
The total hazard function is , giving . Surviving every cause to time and then experiencing cause gives
In competing risks, is generally not , because competing events remove individuals before they can experience cause . This formula does not require assuming independent latent failure times for the different causes.

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