Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2015/ii/paper-2/4j/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 2 4J Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Writing for the observed counts, independence of the Poisson distributions gives the log-likelihoodIts score function and negative second derivative areUnless all vanish, , so the log-likelihood is strictly concave. Use Newton method, starting from a finite , withStop when the score function or the change in is small; a reduced step can ensure that the log-likelihood increases. Any finite zero of the score function is the unique maximum-likelihood estimator.
Existence needs a qualification. If the nonzero include both signs, decreases from to , so a finite root exists. If all nonzero are positive, a finite root exists exactly when ; otherwise the supremum is approached as . The corresponding condition for all negative is , with a supremum at otherwise. When all , the parameter is unidentifiable. These cases explain when the iterative algorithm actually has a finite estimate to find.
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