Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2015/ii/paper-3/23k/i/solution

In an interval of length , condition on the Poisson process count . Independently marking its points gives . The joint probability generating function of kept and discarded counts is
It factors into the generating functions of independent Poisson variables of means and . The same calculation applies to any interval, and counts and marks in disjoint intervals are independent. Hence is a Poisson process of intensity , and and are independent. This is the Poisson thinning theorem.

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